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Briton Ferry vs Bala

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Old Road, Briton Ferry
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Anderson O.
46'
Sub
Mendes L. In: McGiveron D.
Out: Mendes L.
51'
Burke N.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Briton Ferry and Bala finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Briton Ferry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Briton Ferry
15%
Draws
85%
Bala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Briton Ferry carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bala's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 12%
Bala Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Briton Ferry Bala
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.28 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Briton Ferry
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Bala
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Bala
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Briton Ferry
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Bala
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Briton Ferry Compare

Top Goalscorer Walters T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Bala Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Briton Ferry 10 / 100
Bala 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Briton Ferry Bala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Briton Ferry scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Bala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Bala's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Briton Ferry VS Bala
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Briton Ferry

(Home)
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Briton Ferry
0 : 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4
Barry Town
28 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
3 : 0
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

Bala

(Away)
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Haverfordwest 32 14 6 12 48:43 48
8 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 45
9 Cardiff Metropolitan University 32 8 14 10 43:51 38
10 Flint Town 32 8 11 13 48:59 35
11 Bala 32 8 8 16 33:45 32
12 Llanelli 32 3 4 25 17:82 13
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)