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Briton Ferry vs Cardiff Metropolitan University

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Old Road, Briton Ferry
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Mwandwe L.
26' Event
Gammond A.
40' Event
Walters T.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Briton Ferry and Cardiff Metropolitan University finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Briton Ferry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Briton Ferry
35%
Draws
49%
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cardiff Metropolitan University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Briton Ferry come out ahead of Cardiff Metropolitan University on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Briton Ferry Cardiff Metropolitan University
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Briton Ferry
3:0
Apr 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
3:1
Mar 16, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Briton Ferry
0:2
Dec 16, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Briton Ferry
2:2
Aug 15, 2025 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Briton Ferry Compare

Top Goalscorer Gammond A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walters T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare

Top Goalscorer Roscrow A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Briton Ferry 30 / 100
Cardiff Metropolitan University 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Briton Ferry Cardiff Metropolitan University

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Metropolitan University Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Briton Ferry found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Cardiff Metropolitan University conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Briton Ferry went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Briton Ferry VS Cardiff Metropolitan University
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Briton Ferry

(Home)
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Briton Ferry
0 : 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 7

Cardiff Metropolitan University

(Away)
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Cambrian United
31 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Haverfordwest 32 14 6 12 48:43 48
8 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 45
9 Cardiff Metropolitan University 32 8 14 10 43:51 38
10 Flint Town 32 8 11 13 48:59 35
11 Bala 32 8 8 16 33:45 32
12 Llanelli 32 3 4 25 17:82 13
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)