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Briton Ferry vs Connahs Q. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Old Road, Briton Ferry
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Briton Ferry host Connahs Q. in the Cymru Premier. Little to choose between these two on current form. Briton Ferry have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Connahs Q.'s 1.9 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Connahs Q. slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 21, 2025, ending 4:2. xG projections (0.63 - 2.25) back Connahs Q. to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Briton Ferry
30%
Draws
58%
Connahs Q.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Connahs Q.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Connahs Q. lately — more wins on the board than Briton Ferry.
  • Model gives Connahs Q. a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Briton Ferry Connahs Q.
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Briton Ferry
4:2
Oct 11, 2025 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Connahs Q.
0:3
Mar 29, 2025 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Connahs Q.
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Briton Ferry
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Briton Ferry
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Briton Ferry 10 / 100
Connahs Q. 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Briton Ferry Connahs Q.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Briton Ferry scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Connahs Q. let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Briton Ferry went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Briton Ferry VS Connahs Q.
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Briton Ferry

(Home)
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Briton Ferry
0 : 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

Connahs Q.

(Away)
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 11 10 1 0 29:5 31
2 Penybont 11 8 3 0 22:9 27
3 Connahs Q. 11 8 1 2 27:8 25
4 Caernarfon 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
5 Colwyn Bay 11 7 1 3 21:14 22
6 Barry Town 11 7 1 3 26:20 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 11 5 3 3 22:13 18
8 Cambrian United 11 5 3 3 21:23 18
9 Llandudno FC 11 5 1 5 21:18 16
10 Airbus UK Broughton FC 11 5 0 6 18:17 15
11 Haverfordwest 11 3 1 7 7:16 10
12 Briton Ferry 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
13 Flint Town 11 1 2 8 11:24 5
14 Trefelin 11 0 3 8 5:27 3
15 Ammanford Town 11 0 3 8 7:31 3
16 Holywell Town FC 11 0 2 9 12:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)