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Briviesca vs Becerril

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Tamba M.
88' Event
Prieto M.
89' Event
Rodas F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 game between Briviesca and Becerril finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Becerril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Briviesca
20%
Draws
51%
Becerril
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Becerril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Becerril come out ahead of Briviesca on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Briviesca Clean Sheet 20%
Becerril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Briviesca Becerril
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.8 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Briviesca
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Becerril
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Briviesca Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamba M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Becerril Compare

Top Goalscorer Prieto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Briviesca 32 / 100
Becerril 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Briviesca Becerril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Becerril has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Briviesca found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Briviesca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Becerril
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Briviesca

(Home)
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Almazan
4 : 0
Briviesca
01 May
Briviesca
0 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
27 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 1
Briviesca
23 Apr
Villaralbo
0 : 0
Briviesca
Page 1 of 6

Becerril

(Away)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2
Mansilles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)