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Briviesca vs CD Mojados

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Fernandez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 game between Briviesca and CD Mojados finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Briviesca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Briviesca
20%
Draws
51%
CD Mojados
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Mojados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Mojados come out ahead of Briviesca on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Briviesca Clean Sheet 20%
CD Mojados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Briviesca CD Mojados
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs CD Mojados
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Mojados vs Briviesca
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Briviesca Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

CD Mojados Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Briviesca 32 / 100
CD Mojados 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Briviesca CD Mojados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Briviesca scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: CD Mojados conceded in 77% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Briviesca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Mojados
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Briviesca

(Home)
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Almazan
4 : 0
Briviesca
01 May
Briviesca
0 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
27 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 1
Briviesca
23 Apr
Villaralbo
0 : 0
Briviesca
Page 1 of 6

CD Mojados

(Away)
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
26 Apr
CD Mojados
0 : 4
Atletico Tordesillas
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
CD Mojados
1 : 2
Palencia CA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)