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Briviesca vs La Virgen

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Sedano D.
66' Event
Coke

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 game between Briviesca and La Virgen finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Briviesca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Briviesca
20%
Draws
57%
La Virgen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Virgen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Briviesca haven't matched La Virgen's recent run of results.
  • La Virgen are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and La Virgen have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Briviesca Clean Sheet 20%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Briviesca La Virgen
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs La Virgen
2:0
Nov 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Briviesca
1:0
May 11, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Briviesca
1:0
Dec 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs La Virgen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Briviesca Compare

Top Goalscorer Sedano D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coke
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

La Virgen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Briviesca 12 / 100
La Virgen 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Briviesca La Virgen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Virgen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Briviesca found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

La Virgen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Briviesca has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS La Virgen
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Briviesca

(Home)
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Almazan
4 : 0
Briviesca
01 May
Briviesca
0 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
27 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 1
Briviesca
23 Apr
Villaralbo
0 : 0
Briviesca
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La Virgen

(Away)
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)