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Brodd vs Vag

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
4 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Fuglestad O.
23' Event
Aasen V.
31' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Brodd and Vag finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brodd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Brodd
15%
Draws
0%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brodd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Brodd's 2.39 goals per match outpaces what Vag have produced (1.79).
  • Model gives Brodd a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vag have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Brodd Clean Sheet 15%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brodd Vag
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.39 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Brodd vs Vag
4:1
Sep 20, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Brodd vs Vag
2:4
Jul 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Brodd
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brodd Compare

Top Goalscorer Aasen V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sveingard M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuglestad O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brodd 84 / 100
Vag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brodd Vag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brodd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brodd scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Vag conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Vag lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brodd VS Vag
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brodd

(Home)
30 Aug
Brodd
3 : 1
Viking 2
15 Aug
Flekkeroy
0 : 1
Brodd
08 Aug
Mandalskameratene
2 : 1
Brodd
03 Aug
Brodd
2 : 2
Stabaek 2
26 Jul
Akra
1 : 4
Brodd
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Vag

(Away)
30 Aug
Hinna
3 : 0
Vag
22 Aug
Vag
2 : 5
Egersund
15 Aug
Vag
1 : 2
Mandalskameratene
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
01 Aug
Vag
2 : 3
Madla IL
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