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Brodd vs Vag

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
4 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Fuglestad O.
23' Event
Aasen V.
31' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Brodd and Vag finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brodd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Brodd
33%
Draws
27%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Brodd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Brodd's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Vag have produced (1.38).
  • Model gives Brodd a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vag have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Brodd Clean Sheet 13%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brodd Vag
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 15
Draws 3 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Brodd vs Vag
4:1
Sep 20, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Brodd vs Vag
2:4
Jul 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Brodd
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brodd Compare

Top Goalscorer Aasen V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sveingard M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuglestad O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brodd 39 / 100
Vag 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brodd Vag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brodd scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Vag conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Brodd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brodd VS Vag
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%