This match ends 1-2, with AFC Wimbledon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
Bromley
20%
Draws
44%
AFC Wimbledon
Draw rate projection: 20%Favored: AFC Wimbledon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
AFC Wimbledon haven't matched Bromley's recent run of results.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Bromley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor AFC Wimbledon, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)73.4%
Bromley Clean Sheet13%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Bromley
AFC Wimbledon
Matches Played
29
29
Wins
12
10
Draws
10
4
Losses
7
15
Goals Scored
1.34
1.21
Goals Conceded
1.41
1.69
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 11, 2025EFL Trophy
BromleyvsAFC Wimbledon
1:2
Mar 1, 2025League Two
AFC WimbledonvsBromley
0:1
Aug 17, 2024League Two
BromleyvsAFC Wimbledon
2:0
Aug 13, 2024EFL Cup
BromleyvsAFC Wimbledon
1:2
Apr 13, 2009National League South
BromleyvsAFC Wimbledon
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bromley Compare
Top GoalscorerOdutayo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game0.96
Avg xA / game0.63
AFC Wimbledon Compare
Top GoalscorerHackford A.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderBrowne M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.54
Avg xA / game0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bromley35 / 100
AFC Wimbledon20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bromley AFC Wimbledon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickAFC Wimbledon Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AFC Wimbledon has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Bromley found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Bromley has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.