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Bron Radom vs Legia II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Saletra M.
61' Event
Jakubczyk P.
79' Event
White J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Bron Radom and Legia II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bron Radom
15%
Draws
34%
Legia II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bron Radom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legia II come out ahead of Bron Radom on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bron Radom a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Legia II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bron Radom Clean Sheet 20%
Legia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bron Radom Legia II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.37 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Legia II
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Bron Radom
7:0
Mar 1, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Bron Radom
3:2
Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Legia II
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Bron Radom
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bron Radom Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakubczyk P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Legia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Saletra M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader White J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bron Radom 85 / 100
Legia II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bron Radom Legia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bron Radom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Bron Radom found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Bron Radom stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Legia II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bron Radom VS Legia II
2.2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.38
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bron Radom

(Home)
18 Jul
Bron Radom
5 : 0
Arka Pawlow
15 Jul
Bron Radom
2 : 3
Ceramika Opoczno
11 Jul
Bron Radom
4 : 0
Pilica Bialobrzegi
30 May
Bron Radom
0 : 1
Warta Sieradz
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
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Legia II

(Away)
19 Sept
Legia II
3 : 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
12 Sept
Leczna
4 : 1
Legia II
06 Sept
Legia II
1 : 2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
29 Aug
Zawisza
4 : 1
Legia II
23 Aug
Legia II
6 : 1
Kleczew
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)