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Bron Radom vs Warta Sieradz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Owczarek D.

AI Match Summary

Warta Sieradz in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warta Sieradz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bron Radom
20%
Draws
38%
Warta Sieradz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bron Radom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warta Sieradz lately — more wins on the board than Bron Radom.
  • Win probability leans Bron Radom's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bron Radom Clean Sheet 17%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bron Radom Warta Sieradz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Warta Sieradz
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Bron Radom
3:0
May 16, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Warta Sieradz
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Bron Radom
0:1
May 25, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Bron Radom
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bron Radom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Owczarek D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bron Radom 84 / 100
Warta Sieradz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bron Radom Warta Sieradz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bron Radom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bron Radom scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Warta Sieradz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Bron Radom went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bron Radom VS Warta Sieradz
2.75 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bron Radom

(Home)
18 Jul
Bron Radom
5 : 0
Arka Pawlow
15 Jul
Bron Radom
2 : 3
Ceramika Opoczno
11 Jul
Bron Radom
4 : 0
Pilica Bialobrzegi
30 May
Bron Radom
0 : 1
Warta Sieradz
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
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Warta Sieradz

(Away)
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1
Warta Sieradz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)