Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Bron Radom

0 - 1

Warta Sieradz

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Owczarek D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Warta Sieradz in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warta Sieradz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Bron Radom

11%

Draws

Warta Sieradz

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bron Radom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Warta Sieradz lately — more wins on the board than Bron Radom.
Win probability leans Bron Radom's way, sitting at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Bron Radom Clean Sheet 16%

Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bron Radom	Warta Sieradz
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	7	15
Draws	5	7
Losses	17	5
Goals Scored	1.5	1.88
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Bron Radom vs Warta Sieradz

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Warta Sieradz vs Bron Radom

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

May 16, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Bron Radom vs Warta Sieradz

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Oct 19, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Warta Sieradz vs Bron Radom

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

May 25, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Warta Sieradz vs Bron Radom

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bron Radom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Owczarek D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bron Radom 75 / 100

Warta Sieradz 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bron Radom Warta Sieradz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bron Radom scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Warta Sieradz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Bron Radom went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bron Radom VS Warta Sieradz

1.5 Goals Scored 1.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15