Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brothers U. vs Mohammedan

Bangladesh Bangladesh

Federation Cup 2025/2026 Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium, Rajshahi
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Dewan S.
73' Event
Bhuyan J.
90' Event
Dewan S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Mohammedan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Brothers U.
15%
Draws
76%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohammedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Mohammedan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mohammedan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Mohammedan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mohammedan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Brothers U. Clean Sheet 10%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brothers U. Mohammedan
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 BFL
Mohammedan vs Brothers U.
5:0
May 12, 2026 Federation Cup
Brothers U. vs Mohammedan
1:2
Jan 2, 2026 BFL
Brothers U. vs Mohammedan
0:0
May 23, 2025 BFL
Mohammedan vs Brothers U.
3:3
Jan 17, 2025 BFL
Brothers U. vs Mohammedan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brothers U. Compare

Top Goalscorer Bhuyan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dewan S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brothers U. 10 / 100
Mohammedan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brothers U. Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohammedan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohammedan let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Brothers U. scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Brothers U. has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brothers U. VS Mohammedan
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brothers U.

(Home)
23 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
18 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 3
City Club
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
15 May
Fortis
2 : 0
Brothers U.
12 May
Brothers U.
1 : 2
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

Mohammedan

(Away)
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
12 May
Brothers U.
1 : 2
Mohammedan
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Brothers U. 0
Bashundara Kings 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rahmatgonj MFS 0
Mohammedan 3
Semi-finals
Bashundara Kings -
TBD -
Brothers U. 1
Mohammedan 2
Final
Bashundara Kings 3
Mohammedan 2