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Brown Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, Adrogue
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Asprea T. In: Scarcella R.
Out: Asprea T.
24'
Robles E.
33'
Rocha T.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Brown Adrogue and UAI Urquiza finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Brown Adrogue
35%
Draws
35%
UAI Urquiza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Brown Adrogue carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Brown Adrogue Clean Sheet 68%
UAI Urquiza Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brown Adrogue UAI Urquiza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 12 14
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.66 0.52
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Brown Adrogue
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Brown Adrogue
2:1
Sep 6, 2015 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Brown Adrogue
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brown Adrogue Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

UAI Urquiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brown Adrogue 41 / 100
UAI Urquiza 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brown Adrogue UAI Urquiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brown Adrogue Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Brown Adrogue stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Brown Adrogue's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

UAI Urquiza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brown Adrogue VS UAI Urquiza
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brown Adrogue

(Home)
05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
26 Sept
Brown Adrogue
3 : 0
Deportivo Camioneros
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
06 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
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UAI Urquiza

(Away)
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2
Ituzaingo
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
UAI Urquiza
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 38 22 8 8 59:30 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 38 19 12 7 50:25 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 38 19 10 9 40:23 67
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 38 17 13 8 38:23 64
6 Deportivo Camioneros 38 17 12 9 43:29 63
7 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
8 Deportivo Armenio 38 17 9 12 42:38 60
9 Comunicaciones 38 14 13 11 39:34 55
10 Laferrere 38 13 12 13 46:50 51
11 San Martin Burzaco 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 38 11 14 13 37:39 47
14 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
15 Dep. Merlo 38 10 14 14 36:51 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 38 9 16 13 30:37 43
17 CSD Liniers 38 10 13 15 31:39 43
18 Defensores Unidos 38 9 14 15 33:39 41
19 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
20 Flandria 38 10 9 19 34:48 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 38 1 12 25 25:62 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)