Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brown Adrogue vs Villa San Carlos

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Plastino M.
14'
Irusta L.
22'
Villagra J.

AI Match Summary

Brown Adrogue in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brown Adrogue.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brown Adrogue
40%
Draws
29%
Villa San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Brown Adrogue have won more games recently than Villa San Carlos.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Brown Adrogue Clean Sheet 20%
Villa San Carlos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brown Adrogue Villa San Carlos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 11 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Villa San Carlos
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Villa San Carlos
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Brown Adrogue
2:1
Oct 17, 2015 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Villa San Carlos
1:0
Jun 8, 2015 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Brown Adrogue
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brown Adrogue Compare

Top Goalscorer Baez B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Villa San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brown Adrogue 32 / 100
Villa San Carlos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brown Adrogue Villa San Carlos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa San Carlos let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Brown Adrogue remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Brown Adrogue found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Brown Adrogue VS Villa San Carlos
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas25146537:1748
2Arsenal Sarandi25138436:1947
3Villa Dalmine25138430:1447
4Talleres Remedios Escalada25137528:1346
5Deportivo Camioneros25128529:1744
6Sportivo Italiano25118625:2041
7Real Pilar25107829:2837
8Deportivo Armenio25106928:2936
9San Martin Burzaco25811625:2135
10Comunicaciones2598828:2635
11Laferrere2598827:3035
12Dep. Merlo2598830:3735
13Argentino de Merlo2597924:2234
14Argentino de Quilmes2579925:2830
15Dock Sud25610925:2428
16CSD Liniers25681116:2526
17Flandria25751320:3126
18UAI Urquiza25315712:2024
19Defensores Unidos25591120:2924
20Brown Adrogue25591116:2824
21Villa San Carlos254101124:3122
22Ituzaingo25171718:4310