Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brunei vs Bhutan

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah Stadium, B. S. Begawan
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Wangchuk K.
28'
Gyeltshen Y.
29' Event
Ismail N.
Assist: Azman H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Brunei
15%
Draws
85%
Bhutan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bhutan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Bhutan haven't matched Brunei's recent run of results.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Brunei taking it.
  • Brunei have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brunei, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Brunei Clean Sheet 68%
Bhutan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brunei Bhutan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 1 2
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 0.79 0.55
Goals Conceded 3.28 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Asian Cup
Bhutan vs Brunei
2:1
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Brunei vs Bhutan
2:1
May 15, 2008 AFC Challenge Cup
Bhutan vs Brunei
1:1
Apr 6, 2006 AFC Challenge Cup
Bhutan vs Brunei
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brunei Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismail N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bhutan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tshering D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brunei 95 / 100
Bhutan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brunei Bhutan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brunei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bhutan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Bhutan has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Brunei scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brunei VS Bhutan
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
4.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brunei

(Home)
24 Sept
Laos
3 : 1
Brunei
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
02 Jun
Brunei
0 : 3
Timor-Leste
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
Page 1 of 6

Bhutan

(Away)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
04 Jun
Cambodia
4 : 0
Bhutan
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Yemen
7 : 1
Bhutan
13 Nov
India
6 : 1
Bhutan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)