Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brunei vs Sri Lanka

World World

Friendly International 2024 Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah Stadium, B. S. Begawan
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
16'
21'

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Brunei and Sri Lanka finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brunei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Brunei
15%
Draws
85%
Sri Lanka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sri Lanka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sri Lanka a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Brunei Clean Sheet 10%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brunei Sri Lanka
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 1 6
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1
Goals Conceded 3.3 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
Sri Lanka vs Brunei
1:0
Jun 11, 2024 Friendly International
Brunei vs Sri Lanka
1:0
Jun 8, 2024 Friendly International
Brunei vs Sri Lanka
1:0
Apr 4, 2009 AFC Challenge Cup
Sri Lanka vs Brunei
5:1
Apr 2, 2006 AFC Challenge Cup
Sri Lanka vs Brunei
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brunei Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Rahman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sri Lanka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brunei 10 / 100
Sri Lanka 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brunei Sri Lanka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sri Lanka conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Brunei found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Sri Lanka's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brunei VS Sri Lanka
0.38 Goals Scored 1
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brunei

(Home)
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
02 Jun
Brunei
0 : 3
Timor-Leste
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Yemen
9 : 0
Brunei
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Sri Lanka

(Away)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4
Thailand
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
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