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Brunninghausen vs ASC 09 Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Simic T.
8' Event
Gondrum F.
23' Event
Rausch F.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Westfalen 2023/2024 game between Brunninghausen and ASC 09 Dortmund finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASC 09 Dortmund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Brunninghausen
30%
Draws
58%
ASC 09 Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASC 09 Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASC 09 Dortmund come out ahead of Brunninghausen on wins alone.
  • Model gives ASC 09 Dortmund a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Brunninghausen Clean Sheet 18%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brunninghausen ASC 09 Dortmund
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.27 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Brunninghausen
1:1
Feb 16, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Brunninghausen vs ASC 09 Dortmund
1:3
Aug 20, 2023 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Brunninghausen
0:0
Jul 10, 2022 Club Friendly
Brunninghausen vs ASC 09 Dortmund
0:2
Aug 25, 2020 Club Friendly
Brunninghausen vs ASC 09 Dortmund
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brunninghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gondrum F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

ASC 09 Dortmund Compare

Top Goalscorer Rausch F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Podehl M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brunninghausen 10 / 100
ASC 09 Dortmund 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brunninghausen ASC 09 Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC 09 Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: ASC 09 Dortmund conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Brunninghausen scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Brunninghausen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS ASC 09 Dortmund
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brunninghausen

(Home)
30 Jul
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 1
Brunninghausen
26 May
Brunninghausen
1 : 4
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
17 May
Gievenbeck
2 : 1
Brunninghausen
12 May
Brunninghausen
0 : 2
Turkspor Dortmund
09 May
Preussen Munster 2
0 : 0
Brunninghausen
Page 1 of 6

ASC 09 Dortmund

(Away)
04 Oct
TUS Ennepetal
1 : 5
ASC 09 Dortmund
27 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
3 : 3
TuS Hordel
19 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
4 : 1
Lippstadt
06 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
0 : 2
ASC 09 Dortmund
30 Aug
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 3
Sprockhovel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lotte 34 24 4 6 93:32 76
2 Turkspor Dortmund 34 23 5 6 82:41 74
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 34 22 4 8 61:35 70
4 Erkenschwick 34 19 7 8 77:51 64
5 Gievenbeck 34 18 7 9 62:34 61
6 Preussen Munster 2 34 15 12 7 64:39 57
7 Siegen 34 14 11 9 65:46 53
8 Schermbeck 2020 34 16 3 15 63:67 51
9 Vreden 34 15 5 14 54:48 50
10 Westfalia Rhynern 34 12 8 14 49:56 44
11 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 34 12 8 14 71:83 44
12 TUS Ennepetal 34 10 7 17 47:70 37
13 SG Wattenscheid 34 10 4 20 46:69 34
14 TUS Bovinghausen 34 10 2 22 41:91 32
15 Clarholz 34 8 7 19 41:66 31
16 Eintracht Rheine 34 7 8 19 44:77 29
17 Brunninghausen 34 5 11 18 40:70 26
18 Sprockhovel 34 6 7 21 48:73 25
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2024/2025 (Main)