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Brusaporto vs AC Leon

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Bonseri M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Brusaporto and AC Leon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Leon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Brusaporto
20%
Draws
20%
AC Leon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • AC Leon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Brusaporto taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Brusaporto have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 68%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusaporto AC Leon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs AC Leon
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Brusaporto
0:1
Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Brusaporto
1:3
Sep 26, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs AC Leon
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusaporto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AC Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonseri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusaporto 50 / 100
AC Leon 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusaporto AC Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusaporto found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

AC Leon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

AC Leon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brusaporto VS AC Leon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusaporto

(Home)
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 1
Folgore Caratese
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Brusaporto
0 : 4
AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 6

AC Leon

(Away)
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0
AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0
AC Leon
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2
Chievo
19 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
AC Leon
12 Apr
Castellanzese
1 : 0
AC Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)