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Stadium Background

Brusaporto vs Caronnese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Cosentino M.
48' Event
Alberti T.
(Penalty)
84' Event
Micheli F.

AI Match Summary

Brusaporto in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brusaporto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Brusaporto
15%
Draws
0%
Caronnese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Brusaporto have won more games recently than Caronnese.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Brusaporto taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 20%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusaporto Caronnese
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.08 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Caronnese
2:0
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Brusaporto
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusaporto Compare

Top Goalscorer Micheli F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Caronnese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusaporto 85 / 100
Caronnese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusaporto Caronnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusaporto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Caronnese conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Caronnese lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Brusaporto found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (36 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Brusaporto VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusaporto

(Home)
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
Page 1 of 8

Caronnese

(Away)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)