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Brusaporto vs Chievo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Bortolussi E.

AI Match Summary

Chievo in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chievo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Brusaporto
15%
Draws
42%
Chievo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Chievo have won more games recently than Brusaporto.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Brusaporto here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 15%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusaporto Chievo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Brusaporto vs Chievo
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Chievo
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Brusaporto
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusaporto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortolussi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusaporto 31 / 100
Chievo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusaporto Chievo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusaporto's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Chievo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Brusaporto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brusaporto VS Chievo
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusaporto

(Home)
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
04 Oct
Brusaporto
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 7

Chievo

(Away)
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)