Sport Picks
Brusaporto vs Ciserano-Bergamo
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 
Match Events
89'
89'
Rbouh I.
AI Match Summary
Ciserano-Bergamo in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brusaporto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Ciserano-Bergamo average 1.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Brusaporto's 1.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Brusaporto taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Ciserano-Bergamo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 68%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brusaporto | Ciserano-Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Brusaporto
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:0
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Brusaporto vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Brusaporto
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Brusaporto vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brusaporto Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Ciserano-Bergamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Rbouh I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brusaporto 50 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brusaporto Ciserano-Bergamo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brusaporto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brusaporto scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Ciserano-Bergamo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Brusaporto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brusaporto VS Ciserano-Bergamo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Brusaporto
(Home) 27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0 Brusaporto
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Fiorenzuola
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Tritium
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Fiorenzuola
26 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 1 Folgore Caratese
12 Apr
Brusaporto
0 : 4 AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
(Away) 27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
29 Mar
Sondrio
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
