Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Siani G.
(Penalty)
26'
26'
Aprile G.
55'
55'
Austoni F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B game between Brusaporto and Folgore Caratese finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusaporto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Folgore Caratese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Folgore Caratese carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 12%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brusaporto | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Folgore Caratese
3:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Brusaporto
1:1
Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Brusaporto
1:1
Oct 4, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Folgore Caratese
2:2
Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Folgore Caratese
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brusaporto Compare
Top Goalscorer Austoni F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Seck M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Aprile G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brusaporto 35 / 100
Folgore Caratese 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brusaporto Folgore Caratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brusaporto scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Folgore Caratese let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Brusaporto stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brusaporto VS Folgore Caratese
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Brusaporto
(Home) 05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0 Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1 Brusaporto
26 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 1 Folgore Caratese
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2 Brusaporto
12 Apr
Brusaporto
0 : 4 AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 1 Folgore Caratese
12 Apr
Brusaporto
0 : 4 AC Milan U23
29 Mar
Brusaporto
0 : 1 Chievo
15 Mar
Brusaporto
0 : 1 AC Leon
22 Feb
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Castellanzese
Page 1 of 3
Folgore Caratese
(Away) 31 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1 Folgore Caratese
17 May
Vado
3 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1 Folgore Caratese
17 May
Vado
3 : 0 Folgore Caratese
26 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 1 Folgore Caratese
02 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)
