Sport Picks
Brusaporto vs Folgore Caratese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
18'
18'
Siani G.
(Penalty)
26'
26'
Aprile G.
55'
55'
Austoni F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Brusaporto and Folgore Caratese finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusaporto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brusaporto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Brusaporto carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Brusaporto's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 20%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brusaporto | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 12 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Folgore Caratese
3:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Brusaporto
1:1
Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Brusaporto
1:1
Oct 4, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Folgore Caratese
2:2
Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Folgore Caratese
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brusaporto Compare
Top Goalscorer Austoni F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Seck M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Aprile G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brusaporto 40 / 100
Folgore Caratese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brusaporto Folgore Caratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brusaporto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brusaporto scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Folgore Caratese conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Brusaporto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brusaporto VS Folgore Caratese
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Brusaporto
(Home) 07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Chievo
04 Oct
Brusaporto
0 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Chievo
04 Oct
Brusaporto
0 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Fiorenzuola
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Tritium
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Fiorenzuola
Page 1 of 3
Folgore Caratese
(Away) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
