Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brusque U20 vs Joinville U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brusque U20 play Joinville U20 in the Catarinense U20. Joinville U20 are favorites here. Recently, Brusque U20 averaged 0.81 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Joinville U20 averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. In past meetings, Brusque U20 won 2, Joinville U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 5, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Brusque U20 and 1.63 for Joinville U20. This points to a Joinville U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Brusque U20
17%
Draws
58%
Joinville U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Joinville U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Brusque U20 picked up more points recently compared to Joinville U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Brusque U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque U20 Joinville U20
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 3 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.81 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Brusque U20
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Brusque U20
1:0
May 18, 2025 Catarinense U20
Brusque U20 vs Joinville U20
3:1
Jun 7, 2024 Catarinense U20
Brusque U20 vs Joinville U20
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Brusque U20
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque U20 25 / 100
Joinville U20 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque U20 Joinville U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Joinville U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Joinville U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brusque U20 attacking → ← attacking Joinville U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque U20 scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Joinville U20 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Brusque U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Joinville U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 28
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barra FC U201283130:1427
2Avai U201275029:926
3Chapecoense-SC U201272324:1823
4Criciuma U201164119:622
5Figueirense U201245319:1417
6Nacao U201343626:2215
7Carlos Renaux U201343613:2415
8Concordia U201133511:1912
9Joinville U201213810:266
10Brusque U2014111214:434