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Brusque vs Amazonas

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ariel Palacio
28' Event
Graffin A.
38'
Jhonny Lucas

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Brusque
30%
Draws
37%
Amazonas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amazonas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brusque lately — more wins on the board than Amazonas.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Brusque Clean Sheet 22%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Amazonas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie C
Brusque vs Amazonas
1:1
Sep 24, 2024 Serie B
Brusque vs Amazonas
1:0
Jun 8, 2024 Serie B
Amazonas vs Brusque
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie C
Brusque vs Amazonas
1:2
Oct 15, 2023 Serie C
Amazonas vs Brusque
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Ariel Palacio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Amazonas Compare

Top Goalscorer Graffin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 37 / 100
Amazonas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Amazonas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amazonas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Amazonas has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Brusque has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS Amazonas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Brusque
3 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
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Amazonas

(Away)
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3
Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
12 Jul
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 0
Amazonas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 18 9 4 5 26:20 31
2 Botafogo PB 18 9 3 6 26:19 30
3 Paysandu PA 18 9 2 7 26:26 29
4 Internacional de Limeira 18 8 5 5 22:20 29
5 Santa Cruz 18 8 4 6 19:14 28
6 Ypiranga FC 18 8 4 6 25:22 28
7 Guarani 18 7 6 5 32:22 27
8 Ferroviaria 18 7 6 5 21:15 27
9 Maranhao 18 7 6 5 18:16 27
10 Maringa FC 18 7 6 5 31:30 27
11 Floresta EC 18 7 6 5 20:20 27
12 Amazonas 18 7 4 7 19:21 25
13 Figueirense 18 6 7 5 17:21 25
14 SER Caxias do Sul 18 6 6 6 17:16 24
15 Ituano 18 6 4 8 18:19 22
16 Volta Redonda 18 6 3 9 13:23 21
17 Anapolis 18 5 3 10 16:21 18
18 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 18 4 6 8 19:21 18
19 Itabaiana 18 4 5 9 14:25 17
20 Confianca 18 3 4 11 11:19 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)