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Brusque vs Carlos Renaux - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
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Match Events

18'
Sub
Mateus Pivo In: Pedro Medeiros
Out: Mateus Pivo
36' Event
Pedro Medeiros
45'
Gazao

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense game between Brusque and Carlos Renaux finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Brusque
35%
Draws
41%
Carlos Renaux
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Carlos Renaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Brusque carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Catarinense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Brusque Clean Sheet 68%
Carlos Renaux Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Carlos Renaux
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.42 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Catarinense
Brusque vs Carlos Renaux
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Medeiros
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Carlos Renaux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 42 / 100
Carlos Renaux 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Carlos Renaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Carlos Renaux conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Brusque went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
03 Oct
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 2
Brusque
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
Page 1 of 7

Carlos Renaux

(Away)
06 Mar
Figueirense
2 : 4
Carlos Renaux
26 Feb
Carlos Renaux
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Feb
Carlos Renaux
2 : 1
Joinville
14 Feb
Joinville
3 : 0
Carlos Renaux
09 Feb
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1
Carlos Renaux
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 6 3 3 0 9:6 12
2 Avai 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Camboriu 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Concordia 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
5 Marcilio Dias 6 2 0 4 6:6 6
6 Joinville 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
2 Chapecoense-SC 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
3 Criciuma 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
4 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
5 Figueirense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Carlos Renaux 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)