Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brusque vs Confianca

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Lucas Cunha
46'
Sub
Ryan Santos In: Joao Pedro
Out: Ryan Santos
49'
Rafael Milhorim

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Brusque and Confianca finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Brusque
30%
Draws
16%
Confianca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Brusque carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Brusque are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Brusque Clean Sheet 68%
Confianca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Confianca
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.31 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie C
Brusque vs Confianca
2:1
Jun 1, 2025 Serie C
Confianca vs Brusque
4:1
Jul 15, 2023 Serie C
Brusque vs Confianca
4:0
Nov 6, 2021 Serie B
Confianca vs Brusque
3:2
Aug 1, 2021 Serie B
Brusque vs Confianca
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Adrianinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Confianca Compare

Top Goalscorer PK
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 68 / 100
Confianca 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Confianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusque Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Brusque found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Confianca has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Brusque went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS Confianca
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Brusque
3 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
Page 1 of 6

Confianca

(Away)
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
12 Jul
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Confianca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 18 9 4 5 26:20 31
2 Botafogo PB 18 9 3 6 26:19 30
3 Paysandu PA 18 9 2 7 26:26 29
4 Internacional de Limeira 18 8 5 5 22:20 29
5 Santa Cruz 18 8 4 6 19:14 28
6 Ypiranga FC 18 8 4 6 25:22 28
7 Guarani 18 7 6 5 32:22 27
8 Ferroviaria 18 7 6 5 21:15 27
9 Maranhao 18 7 6 5 18:16 27
10 Maringa FC 18 7 6 5 31:30 27
11 Floresta EC 18 7 6 5 20:20 27
12 Amazonas 18 7 4 7 19:21 25
13 Figueirense 18 6 7 5 17:21 25
14 SER Caxias do Sul 18 6 6 6 17:16 24
15 Ituano 18 6 4 8 18:19 22
16 Volta Redonda 18 6 3 9 13:23 21
17 Anapolis 18 5 3 10 16:21 18
18 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 18 4 6 8 19:21 18
19 Itabaiana 18 4 5 9 14:25 17
20 Confianca 18 3 4 11 11:19 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)