Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Brymbo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brymbo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Penycae FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Penycae FC taking it.
- Penycae FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Brymbo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Brymbo Clean Sheet 10%
Penycae FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brymbo | Penycae FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.55 | 3.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.04 | 3.14 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2012 FAW Welsh Cup
Brymbo vs Penycae FC
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brymbo 10 / 100
Penycae FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brymbo Penycae FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penycae FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Penycae FC let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.
Attacking prowess: Brymbo scored in 73% of their last 11 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Penycae FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Brymbo VS Penycae FC
1.2 Goals Scored 0.88
5.4 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
80% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Brymbo
(Home) 04 Sept
Bala
17 : 1 Brymbo
14 Aug
Brymbo
3 : 1 Llansantffraid Village
19 Oct
Guilsfield
2 : 1 Brymbo
20 Oct
Buckley
3 : 1 Brymbo
01 Oct
Llangefni
4 : 0 Brymbo
Page 1 of 3
14 Aug
Brymbo
3 : 1 Llansantffraid Village
10 Nov
Brymbo
1 : 3 Cefn Druids
06 Oct
Brymbo
2 : 1 Penycae FC
12 Sept
Brymbo
1 : 6 Llangefni
13 Sept
Brymbo
0 : 8 Mold Alexandra
Penycae FC
(Away) 16 Sept
Penycae FC
1 : 4 Rhos Aelwyd
08 Oct
Penycae FC
1 : 4 Guilsfield
17 Sept
Trearddur Bay
1 : 5 Penycae FC
19 Oct
Bangor 1876
4 : 3 Penycae FC
20 Oct
Penycae FC
0 : 4 Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Trearddur Bay
1 : 5 Penycae FC
19 Oct
Bangor 1876
4 : 3 Penycae FC
01 Oct
Flint Town
6 : 0 Penycae FC
21 Mar
Llandrindod
3 : 2 Penycae FC
07 Mar
Holyhead
2 : 0 Penycae FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tata Steel 7
Bridgend Street 4
Pontypridd United 0
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brymbo 2
Penycae FC 1
Llanberis FC 1
Cefn Druids 7
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 5
Brecon Corinthians 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Cambrian United 1
Montgomery 5
Venture Community 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Llandudno Junction 4
Gwalchmai 4
Carno FC 1
Ruthin Town 1
Corwen 2
Grange Harlequins 4
Llanwern FC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 7
Bodedern 0
Rhydymwyn 1
Waterloo Rovers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 1
Caernarfon 0
Llanuwchllyn 3
Buckley 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 5
Caerleon 2
Presteigne St. Andrews 0
Penrhyncoch 2
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Trefores 1
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Ely Rangers 3
Goytre AFC 3
Llwydcoed 0
Caerau FC 8
Llantwit Fardre 0
Ton Pentre 3
Dinas Powys 1
Bridgend Town 0
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 7
Croesyceiliog FC 3
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 6
Llandudno FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Denbigh 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Llanidloes Town 6
Halkyn United 1
Coedpoeth 1
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 4
Llanllyfni FC 0
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pwllheli 5
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llansantffraid Village 2
Holyhead 6
Monmouth 1
AFC Porth 0
Cwmamman United 1
Newbridge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
West End 4
Taffs Well 0
Risca United 0
Rhayader 2
Llanrhaeadr 2
Glan Conwy FC 1
Four Crosses 1
Llanrug 2
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/32-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
Tata Steel 1
Aberdare Town 2
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
Brymbo 1
Cefn Druids 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 0
Montgomery 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Gwalchmai 2
Corwen 1
Grange Harlequins 1
Chepstow Town 4
Rhyl 5
Waterloo Rovers 0
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 2
Buckley 1
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Ely Rangers 6
Goytre AFC 3
Caerau FC 1
Ton Pentre 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre Utd 2
Llandudno FC 3
Holywell Town FC 5
Llanidloes Town 3
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 0
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pwllheli 2
Holyhead 5
Monmouth 5
Newbridge 1
TBD -
Bala -
West End 2
Rhayader 0
Llanrhaeadr 2
Llanrug 3
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/16-finals
Bangor City 4
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli 2
Connahs Q. 4
Newtown 2
Cefn Druids 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Haverfordwest 3
Llandudno Junction 2
Gwalchmai 0
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 5
Aberystwyth 2
Conwy Borough 1
TNS 3
Barry Town 3
Ely Rangers 1
Goytre AFC 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 2
Holywell Town FC 0
Llanidloes Town 0
Flint Town 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Holyhead 1
Monmouth 2
Bala 3
West End 5
Llanrug 0
Afan Lido 3
Prestatyn 4
1/8-finals
Bangor City 2
Connahs Q. 0
Newtown 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 4
Chepstow Town 3
Rhyl 1
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 1
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town 3
Bala 2
West End 0
Prestatyn 2
Quarter-finals
Bangor City 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Haverfordwest 0
TNS 1
Barry Town 2
Flint Town 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Prestatyn 3
Semi-finals
Bangor City 1
TNS 0
Barry Town 1
Prestatyn 2
Final
Bangor City 1
Prestatyn 3
