Sport Picks
Bryntirion Athletic vs Carmarthen Town
Wales
League Cup 2012/2013 
Match Events
23'
23'
Thomas L.
36'
36'
Thomas L.
85'
85'
Jones N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Carmarthen Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Carmarthen Town carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Bryntirion Athletic taking it.
- Carmarthen Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Carmarthen Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bryntirion Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bryntirion Athletic | Carmarthen Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 2.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 9, 2012 League Cup
Bryntirion Athletic vs Carmarthen Town
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bryntirion Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Carmarthen Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bryntirion Athletic 40 / 100
Carmarthen Town 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bryntirion Athletic Carmarthen Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bryntirion Athletic's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Carmarthen Town let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Bryntirion Athletic stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Carmarthen Town
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Bryntirion Athletic
(Home) 18 May
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
07 May
Bryntirion Athletic
3 : 3 Cwmbran Celtic
19 Apr
Bryntirion Athletic
1 : 1 Taffs Well
14 Apr
Monmouth
1 : 0 Bryntirion Athletic
09 Apr
Pontardawe
0 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Bryntirion Athletic
3 : 3 Cwmbran Celtic
19 Apr
Bryntirion Athletic
1 : 1 Taffs Well
06 Apr
Bryntirion Athletic
0 : 2 Haverfordwest
30 Mar
Bryntirion Athletic
1 : 4 Barry Town
27 Mar
Bryntirion Athletic
2 : 0 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 3
Carmarthen Town
(Away) 25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
08 Aug
Newport City
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
18 Apr
Treowen
4 : 1 Carmarthen Town
28 Mar
Baglan Dragons
0 : 7 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Bryntirion Athletic 3
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Port Talbot -
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Haverfordwest 4
Cambrian United 0
TBD -
Llanelli -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Buckley 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Rhyl 2
Porthmadog 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
1/8-finals
Carmarthen Town 2
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Aberystwyth 2
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 5
Newtown 4
Haverfordwest 3
Llanelli 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Penrhyncoch 0
Rhyl 1
Connahs Q. 3
Bala 6
Bangor City 1
Prestatyn 0
TNS 2
Quarter-finals
Carmarthen Town 3
Port Talbot 2
Afan Lido 3
Llanelli 6
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Connahs Q. 1
Bala 2
TNS 3
Semi-finals
Carmarthen Town 2
Llanelli 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
TNS 5
Final
Carmarthen Town 4
TNS 3
