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Brzeg vs Polkowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brzeg host Polkowice in the III Liga - Group III. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Brzeg at 1.36 goals for, 1.46 against; Polkowice at 1.92 for, 1.56 against. Head-to-head, Brzeg have won 2 to Polkowice's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.44) back Polkowice to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Brzeg
15%
Draws
49%
Polkowice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polkowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Polkowice lately — more wins on the board than Brzeg.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Brzeg Clean Sheet 16%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brzeg Polkowice
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 9 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.92
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Polkowice
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Brzeg
1:1
Jun 8, 2019 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Brzeg
1:1
Nov 24, 2018 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Polkowice
0:1
May 3, 2018 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Polkowice
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brzeg 31 / 100
Polkowice 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brzeg Polkowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polkowice has conceded goals in 81% of their last 36 outings.

Brzeg found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Polkowice registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brzeg VS Polkowice
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brzeg

(Home)
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1
Carina Gubin
26 Sept
ROW Rybnik
4 : 3
Brzeg
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0
Brzeg
05 Sept
Brzeg
2 : 4
Legnica II
Page 1 of 6

Polkowice

(Away)
09 Oct
Polkowice
4 : 1
Stilon Gorzow
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Barycz Sulow
2 : 1
Polkowice
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
7 Stilon Gorzow 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 Polkowice 11 4 3 4 19:18 15
9 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
10 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)