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BS Bouhajla vs AS Agareb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Lahdhiri F.
43' Event
Souissi S.
74' Event
Amara A.

AI Match Summary

BS Bouhajla in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BS Bouhajla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
BS Bouhajla
35%
Draws
32%
AS Agareb
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • AS Agareb average 1.03 goals a game right now, well clear of BS Bouhajla's 0.97.
  • Model gives BS Bouhajla a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
BS Bouhajla Clean Sheet 68%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BS Bouhajla AS Agareb
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs BS Bouhajla
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 2
BS Bouhajla vs AS Agareb
3:1
Feb 15, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs BS Bouhajla
1:4
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue 2
BS Bouhajla vs AS Agareb
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BS Bouhajla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lahdhiri F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AS Agareb Compare

Top Goalscorer Souissi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BS Bouhajla 51 / 100
AS Agareb 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BS Bouhajla AS Agareb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Agareb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: BS Bouhajla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

BS Bouhajla's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

BS Bouhajla VS AS Agareb
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BS Bouhajla

(Home)
04 Oct
BS Bouhajla
0 : 0
Soliman
26 Sept
ES Beni-Khalled
1 : 2
BS Bouhajla
21 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 3
Esperance Tunis
11 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 1
US Tataouine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 6

AS Agareb

(Away)
03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3
Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2
AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)