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BS Bouhajla vs Espoir Rogba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Gontara M.
90' Event
Chehaibi A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between BS Bouhajla and Espoir Rogba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BS Bouhajla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
BS Bouhajla
20%
Draws
0%
Espoir Rogba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BS Bouhajla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • BS Bouhajla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on BS Bouhajla taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
BS Bouhajla Clean Sheet 68%
Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BS Bouhajla Espoir Rogba
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 0.94 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Ligue 2
BS Bouhajla vs Espoir Rogba
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs BS Bouhajla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BS Bouhajla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gontara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Espoir Rogba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BS Bouhajla 95 / 100
Espoir Rogba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BS Bouhajla Espoir Rogba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BS Bouhajla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir Rogba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Espoir Rogba's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

BS Bouhajla went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

BS Bouhajla found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

BS Bouhajla VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BS Bouhajla

(Home)
04 Oct
BS Bouhajla
0 : 0
Soliman
26 Sept
ES Beni-Khalled
1 : 2
BS Bouhajla
21 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 3
Esperance Tunis
11 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 1
US Tataouine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 7

Espoir Rogba

(Away)
23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3
Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7
Kasserine
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1
Espoir Rogba
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1
Sfax Railways
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0
Espoir Rogba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)