Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BS Bouhajla vs Ksour Essef

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup
Mon, Mar 23, 2026
2 - 1
12:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Naghmouchi A.
41' Event
Ben Turkia A. A.
(Penalty)
74'
Naghmouchi A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
BS Bouhajla
15%
Draws
36%
Ksour Essef
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BS Bouhajla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • BS Bouhajla haven't matched Ksour Essef's recent run of results.
  • BS Bouhajla are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Ksour Essef arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor BS Bouhajla, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
BS Bouhajla Clean Sheet 68%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BS Bouhajla Ksour Essef
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Tunisia Cup
BS Bouhajla vs Ksour Essef
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BS Bouhajla Compare

Top Goalscorer Naghmouchi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mouelhi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ksour Essef Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BS Bouhajla 68 / 100
Ksour Essef 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BS Bouhajla Ksour Essef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BS Bouhajla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ksour Essef has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ksour Essef has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

BS Bouhajla's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

BS Bouhajla VS Ksour Essef
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BS Bouhajla

(Home)
21 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 3
Esperance Tunis
11 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 1
US Tataouine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0
Chebba
21 Apr
AS Agareb
1 : 0
BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 6

Ksour Essef

(Away)
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0
Ksour Essef
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3
Stade Soussien
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0
Ksour Essef
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2
Kalaa
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1
Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 2
Jendouba Sport 3
Moknine 1
Sfax Railways 3
TBD -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram -
TBD -
AS Agareb 3
Sporting Ben Arous 2
Nefza -
TBD -
Stade Gabesien 2
Hammam-Lif 0
Gafsa Ksar -
TBD -
TBD -
Jebel Jeloud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui -
TBD -
Korba 6
Kalaa 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
Sidi Bouzid 1
US Tataouine 3
Megrine 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Bouchamma 1
Kerkennah 3
Ariana 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Sahline -
TBD -
TBD -
Oued Ellil -
Mornag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hassi Amor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba -
TBD -
Redeyef 1
Djelma 2
Chebika -
TBD -
EM Mahdia 2
Kasserine 1
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili -
TBD -
TBD -
Guettar -
BS Bouhajla 1
Chebba 0
TBD -
Rades -
Ksour Essef -
TBD -
Menzel Bourguiba 1
Gafsa 2
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma -
TBD -
TBD -
Stir Zarzouna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/32-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana 1
Jendouba Sport 3
Sfax Railways -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram 2
AS Agareb 3
Nefza 0
Stade Gabesien 2
Gafsa Ksar 1
Jebel Jeloud 0
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui 0
Korba 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
US Tataouine 2
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Kerkennah 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Sahline 2
Oued Ellil 1
Mornag 3
Hassi Amor 2
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba 2
Djelma 0
Chebika 0
EM Mahdia 4
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili 1
Guettar 0
BS Bouhajla 3
Rades 0
Ksour Essef 2
Gafsa 0
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma 1
Stir Zarzouna 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/16-finals
JS Kairouan 0
CS Sfaxien 1
Jendouba Sport 2
Sfax Railways 0
AS Agareb 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Gafsa Ksar 0
Etoile Sahel 5
Monastir 1
Club Africain 0
Zarzis 1
Korba 0
CA Bizertin 3
AS Marsa 2
Msaken 4
Ben Guerdane 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 6
Sahline 0
Mornag 1
Olympique Beja 2
Ajim Djerba 2
EM Mahdia 0
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Sportive Kebili 0
BS Bouhajla 2
Ksour Essef 1
Soliman 3
Stade Tunisien 2
Metlaoui 5
AS Gabes 2
WS Hamma 0
Esperance Tunis 5
1/8-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Jendouba Sport 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Etoile Sahel 3
Monastir 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 2
Msaken 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Olympique Beja 1
Ajim Djerba 0
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 2
Soliman 1
Metlaoui 1
Esperance Tunis 3
Quarter-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Stade Gabesien 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Semi-finals
CS Sfaxien 0
Zarzis 1
Jeunesse Sportive 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Final
Zarzis 0
Esperance Tunis 1