Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BSAD vs Covilha

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio Nacional do Jamor, Lisbon - Oeiras
Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Sub
Lobato S. In: Sithole Y.
Out: Lobato S.
55'
Sub
Fofana B. In: Jeffinho
Out: Fofana B.
56'
Sub
Miguel B. In: Araujo I.
Out: Miguel B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 game between BSAD and Covilha finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Covilha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
BSAD
35%
Draws
16%
Covilha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: BSAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Covilha haven't matched BSAD's recent run of results.
  • Model gives BSAD a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
BSAD Clean Sheet 68%
Covilha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BSAD Covilha
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.26 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs Covilha
0:1
Nov 13, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Covilha vs BSAD
1:1
Apr 21, 2013 Liga Portugal 2
Covilha vs BSAD
4:1
Dec 5, 2012 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs Covilha
2:0
May 6, 2012 Liga Portugal 2
Covilha vs BSAD
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BSAD Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Covilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Aponza W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BSAD 77 / 100
Covilha 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BSAD Covilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BSAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BSAD found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Covilha let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: BSAD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Covilha
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BSAD

(Home)
11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1
BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1
Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2
Mafra
Page 1 of 7

Covilha

(Away)
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0
Covilha
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1
Mortagua FC
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3
Atletico CP
16 Aug
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
Covilha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 34 24 7 3 77:38 79
2 SC Farense 34 21 6 7 57:34 69
3 Estrela da Amadora 34 16 15 3 55:35 63
4 Academico Viseu 34 14 11 9 51:45 53
5 FC Porto B 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
6 Mafra 34 12 11 11 46:49 47
7 Vilafranquense 34 12 10 12 42:36 46
8 Feirense 34 11 13 10 43:37 46
9 Torreense 34 13 5 16 38:41 44
10 Oliveirense 34 11 10 13 51:50 43
11 Tondela 34 8 16 10 35:35 40
12 Penafiel 34 9 12 13 36:47 39
13 Nacional 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
14 Benfica B 34 10 8 16 52:58 38
15 Leixoes 34 10 9 15 38:49 38
16 BSAD 34 9 8 17 41:59 35
17 Trofense 34 8 8 18 31:51 32
18 Covilha 34 7 7 20 31:57 28
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)