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Stadium Background

BSAD vs Torreense

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio Nacional do Jamor, Lisbon - Oeiras
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Sambu B.
35' Event
Fernandes P.
38'
Campos N.

AI Match Summary

Torreense in this Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torreense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
BSAD
35%
Draws
37%
Torreense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torreense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Torreense lately — more wins on the board than BSAD.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on BSAD taking it.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors BSAD here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
BSAD Clean Sheet 68%
Torreense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BSAD Torreense
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.26 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.42 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs Torreense
1:3
Oct 18, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs BSAD
0:1
May 23, 2017 Club Friendly
Torreense vs BSAD
0:5
Feb 28, 1965 Liga Portugal
Torreense vs BSAD
0:2
Nov 22, 1964 Liga Portugal
BSAD vs Torreense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BSAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Torreense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santana C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BSAD 50 / 100
Torreense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BSAD Torreense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BSAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BSAD scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Torreense let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: BSAD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Torreense
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BSAD

(Home)
11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1
BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1
Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2
Mafra
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Torreense

(Away)
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3
Vizela
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 34 24 7 3 77:38 79
2 SC Farense 34 21 6 7 57:34 69
3 Estrela da Amadora 34 16 15 3 55:35 63
4 Academico Viseu 34 14 11 9 51:45 53
5 FC Porto B 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
6 Mafra 34 12 11 11 46:49 47
7 Vilafranquense 34 12 10 12 42:36 46
8 Feirense 34 11 13 10 43:37 46
9 Torreense 34 13 5 16 38:41 44
10 Oliveirense 34 11 10 13 51:50 43
11 Tondela 34 8 16 10 35:35 40
12 Penafiel 34 9 12 13 36:47 39
13 Nacional 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
14 Benfica B 34 10 8 16 52:58 38
15 Leixoes 34 10 9 15 38:49 38
16 BSAD 34 9 8 17 41:59 35
17 Trofense 34 8 8 18 31:51 32
18 Covilha 34 7 7 20 31:57 28
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)