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Bucaramanga vs Llaneros

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bucaramanga host Llaneros in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Bucaramanga at 2 goals for, 1.63 against; Llaneros at 1 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Bucaramanga slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.31) back Llaneros to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bucaramanga
33%
Draws
40%
Llaneros
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Llaneros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Llaneros carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Llaneros taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bucaramanga Clean Sheet 18%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bucaramanga Llaneros
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Primera A
Llaneros vs Bucaramanga
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Llaneros
2:0
May 3, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Bucaramanga
2:1
Sep 6, 2015 Primera B
Llaneros vs Bucaramanga
1:1
Apr 13, 2015 Primera B
Bucaramanga vs Llaneros
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bucaramanga 28 / 100
Llaneros 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bucaramanga Llaneros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bucaramanga scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Llaneros conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bucaramanga stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bucaramanga VS Llaneros
2 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bucaramanga

(Home)
24 May
Alianza
2 : 1
Bucaramanga
21 May
Bucaramanga
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
11 May
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Bucaramanga
08 May
Bucaramanga
5 : 0
Real Santander
03 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 1
Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6

Llaneros

(Away)
24 Jul
Llaneros
1 : 0
Dep. Pereira
27 May
Chico
0 : 1
Llaneros
20 May
Llaneros
3 : 1
Patriotas
12 May
Millonarios
1 : 0
Llaneros
07 May
Llaneros
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali11002:03
2Ind. Medellin11003:23
3Deportes Tolima11002:13
4Bucaramanga11001:03
5Llaneros11001:03
6Chico00000:00
7America De Cali00000:00
8Santa Fe00000:00
9Inter Bogotá00000:00
10Atl. Nacional00000:00
11Cucuta00000:00
12Once Caldas00000:00
13Aguilas Doradas00000:00
14Alianza00000:00
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.00000:00
16Dep. Pasto10012:30
17Junior10011:20
18Millonarios10010:10
19Dep. Pereira10010:10
20Jaguares de Cordoba10010:20
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)