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Bucaramanga W vs Once Caldas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Cancha Marte - UMT, Bucaramanga
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Montanez A.
42' Event
Nino B.
Assist: Gomez M.
46'
Sub
Padilla Y. In: Rojas M.
Out: Padilla Y.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between Bucaramanga W and Once Caldas W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bucaramanga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Bucaramanga W
30%
Draws
18%
Once Caldas W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bucaramanga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Bucaramanga W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Bucaramanga W taking it.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Bucaramanga W Clean Sheet 68%
Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bucaramanga W Once Caldas W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.67 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Liga Women
Bucaramanga W vs Once Caldas W
2:1
May 3, 2025 Liga Women
Bucaramanga W vs Once Caldas W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bucaramanga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nino B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Once Caldas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bucaramanga W 77 / 100
Once Caldas W 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bucaramanga W Once Caldas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bucaramanga W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Once Caldas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bucaramanga W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bucaramanga W found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Bucaramanga W VS Once Caldas W
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bucaramanga W

(Home)
20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1
Once Caldas W
03 Aug
Junior W
0 : 1
Bucaramanga W
25 Jul
Bucaramanga W
3 : 0
Llaneros W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1
Bucaramanga W
20 May
Bucaramanga W
1 : 4
Dep. Cali W
Page 1 of 6

Once Caldas W

(Away)
20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1
Once Caldas W
02 Aug
Once Caldas W
0 : 0
Inter Palmira W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1
Once Caldas W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0
Once Caldas W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0
Llaneros W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)