Sport Picks
Bucaramanga W vs Orsomarso W
Colombia
Liga Women Cancha Marte - UMT, Bucaramanga 
Match Events
8'
8'
Rodriguez S.
31'
31'
Padilla Y.
36'
36'
Rojas M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Women game between Bucaramanga W and Orsomarso W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
77%
15%
8%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bucaramanga W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
77%
/ Very High Confidence
- Orsomarso W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Bucaramanga W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bucaramanga W Clean Sheet 68%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bucaramanga W | Orsomarso W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Women
Bucaramanga W vs Orsomarso W
1:1
May 17, 2025 Liga Women
Bucaramanga W vs Orsomarso W
1:1
Apr 13, 2022 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Bucaramanga W
0:0
May 28, 2017 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Bucaramanga W
2:1
May 21, 2017 Liga Women
Bucaramanga W vs Orsomarso W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bucaramanga W Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Orsomarso W Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bucaramanga W 95 / 100
Orsomarso W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bucaramanga W Orsomarso W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bucaramanga W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Orsomarso W conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Bucaramanga W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Orsomarso W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Bucaramanga W VS Orsomarso W
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bucaramanga W
(Home) 20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1 Once Caldas W
03 Aug
Junior W
0 : 1 Bucaramanga W
25 Jul
Bucaramanga W
3 : 0 Llaneros W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1 Bucaramanga W
20 May
Bucaramanga W
1 : 4 Dep. Cali W
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1 Once Caldas W
25 Jul
Bucaramanga W
3 : 0 Llaneros W
20 May
Bucaramanga W
1 : 4 Dep. Cali W
15 May
Bucaramanga W
0 : 1 Inter Palmira W
02 May
Bucaramanga W
2 : 0 Real Santander W
Page 1 of 4
Orsomarso W
(Away) 12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1 Orsomarso W
04 Sept
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0 Orsomarso W
01 Sept
Orsomarso W
0 : 0 Dep. Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2 America de Cali W
Page 1 of 8
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1 Orsomarso W
04 Sept
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0 Orsomarso W
25 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
3 : 0 Orsomarso W
01 Aug
Real Santander W
0 : 1 Orsomarso W
25 Jul
Inter Palmira W
1 : 1 Orsomarso W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
