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Bucaspor 1928 vs Altay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Yildiz M.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Kaymaz M.
68' Event
Gok A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 game between Bucaspor 1928 and Altay finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bucaspor 1928
20%
Draws
50%
Altay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Altay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Altay come out ahead of Bucaspor 1928 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Altay a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bucaspor 1928 Clean Sheet 10%
Altay Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bucaspor 1928 Altay
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Bucaspor 1928 vs Altay
1:2
Jan 31, 2016 3. Lig Group 1
Altay vs Bucaspor 1928
2:2
Sep 13, 2015 3. Lig Group 1
Bucaspor 1928 vs Altay
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bucaspor 1928 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gok A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Altay Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaymaz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bucaspor 1928 18 / 100
Altay 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bucaspor 1928 Altay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Altay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bucaspor 1928 scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Bucaspor 1928 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bucaspor 1928 VS Altay
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bucaspor 1928

(Home)
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2
Altay
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
16 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
0 : 4
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
12 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
2 : 1
Aksehirspor
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Altay

(Away)
03 Oct
Altay
0 : 0
Alanya 1221
27 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2
Altay
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
15 Sept
Altay
2 : 4
Soke 1970
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Etimesgut 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Eskisehirspor 5 3 1 1 16:6 10
6 Ayvalikgucu 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Balikesirspor 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Soke 1970 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Karsiyaka 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
15 Aksehirspor 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
16 Kepez Bld. 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 1:10 2
18 Alanya 1221 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)