Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Soy E.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Bavuk F.
Assist: Sonmez H.
56'
56'
Sonmez H.
Assist: Eyibil E.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 game between Bucaspor 1928 and Elazigspor finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elazigspor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elazigspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Elazigspor carry the better recent record into this one.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Elazigspor taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Elazigspor here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bucaspor 1928 Clean Sheet 10%
Elazigspor Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bucaspor 1928 | Elazigspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 20 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Bucaspor 1928 vs Elazigspor
1:5
Nov 30, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Elazigspor vs Bucaspor 1928
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Bucaspor 1928 vs Elazigspor
0:3
Nov 30, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Elazigspor vs Bucaspor 1928
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bucaspor 1928 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bozkuyu B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Elazigspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Sonmez H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bavuk F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bucaspor 1928 10 / 100
Elazigspor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bucaspor 1928 Elazigspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elazigspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bucaspor 1928 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
Elazigspor let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Bucaspor 1928 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bucaspor 1928 VS Elazigspor
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bucaspor 1928
(Home) 27 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2 Altay
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0 Bucaspor 1928
16 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
0 : 4 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
12 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
2 : 1 Aksehirspor
06 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1 Bucaspor 1928
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2 Altay
16 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
0 : 4 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
12 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
2 : 1 Aksehirspor
19 Apr
Bucaspor 1928
3 : 3 Batman Petrolspor
08 Apr
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 1 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
Page 1 of 3
Elazigspor
(Away) 27 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
0 : 0 Elazigspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0 Aliaga
12 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 2 Elazigspor
06 Sept
Elazigspor
3 : 1 Sebat Spor Kulubu
10 May
Muglaspor
1 : 0 Elazigspor
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
0 : 0 Elazigspor
12 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 2 Elazigspor
10 May
Muglaspor
1 : 0 Elazigspor
30 Apr
Adana 01
2 : 4 Elazigspor
19 Apr
Iskenderunspor
0 : 1 Elazigspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Batman Petrolspor | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 86:33 | 83 |
| 2 | Muglaspor | 36 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 51:19 | 72 |
| 3 | Elazigspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82:37 | 69 |
| 4 | Adana 01 | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 55:35 | 67 |
| 5 | Sanliurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Ankaragucu | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Inegolspor | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 67:44 | 60 |
| 8 | Iskenderunspor | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 50:44 | 56 |
| 9 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 45:35 | 54 |
| 10 | Ankaraspor | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 64:54 | 52 |
| 11 | 24Erzincanspor | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 55:49 | 51 |
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44:56 | 42 |
| 13 | Karacabey Bld. | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46:55 | 41 |
| 14 | Altinordu | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 33:59 | 35 |
| 15 | Erbaaspor | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 40:61 | 34 |
| 16 | Beykoz Anadolu | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 37:66 | 30 |
| 17 | Kepez Bld. | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 33:78 | 23 |
| 18 | Karaman FK | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 30:86 | 21 |
| 19 | Bucaspor 1928 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 38:76 | 17 |
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)
