Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bucaspor 1928 vs Elazigspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Soy E.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Bavuk F.
Assist: Sonmez H.
56' Event
Sonmez H.
Assist: Eyibil E.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 game between Bucaspor 1928 and Elazigspor finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elazigspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bucaspor 1928
6%
Draws
90%
Elazigspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elazigspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Elazigspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Elazigspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Elazigspor here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Bucaspor 1928 Clean Sheet 10%
Elazigspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bucaspor 1928 Elazigspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Bucaspor 1928 vs Elazigspor
1:5
Nov 30, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Elazigspor vs Bucaspor 1928
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Bucaspor 1928 vs Elazigspor
0:3
Nov 30, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Elazigspor vs Bucaspor 1928
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bucaspor 1928 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bozkuyu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Elazigspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonmez H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bavuk F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bucaspor 1928 10 / 100
Elazigspor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bucaspor 1928 Elazigspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bucaspor 1928 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Bucaspor 1928 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Elazigspor let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bucaspor 1928 VS Elazigspor
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bucaspor 1928

(Home)
24 Apr
Karacabey Bld.
0 : 1
Bucaspor 1928
19 Apr
Bucaspor 1928
3 : 3
Batman Petrolspor
12 Apr
Altinordu
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
08 Apr
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
03 Apr
Ankaragucu
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
Page 1 of 6

Elazigspor

(Away)
10 May
Muglaspor
1 : 0
Elazigspor
04 May
Elazigspor
2 : 1
Adana 01
30 Apr
Adana 01
2 : 4
Elazigspor
25 Apr
Elazigspor
2 : 0
24Erzincanspor
19 Apr
Iskenderunspor
0 : 1
Elazigspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batman Petrolspor36258386:3383
2Muglaspor36219651:1972
3Elazigspor36216982:3769
4Adana 01361910755:3567
5Sanliurfaspor36198963:4365
6Ankaragucu36189952:4163
7Inegolspor361612867:4460
8Iskenderunspor361681250:4456
9Beyoglu Yeni Carsi361315845:3554
10Ankaraspor3613131064:5452
1124Erzincanspor361561555:4951
12Kastamonuspor361191644:5642
13Karacabey Bld.361181746:5541
14Altinordu368111733:5935
15Erbaaspor361071940:6134
16Beykoz Anadolu36862237:6630
17Kepez Bld.36582333:7823
18Karaman FK36492330:8621
19Bucaspor 192836482438:7617
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)