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Bucaspor vs 1461 Trabzon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Talsik M.
87' Event
Tutuncu F.
90' Event
Kocal Y.

AI Match Summary

1461 Trabzon in this 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored 1461 Trabzon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Bucaspor
20%
Draws
64%
1461 Trabzon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 1461 Trabzon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • 1461 Trabzon have won more games recently than Bucaspor.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • 1461 Trabzon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bucaspor Clean Sheet 16%
1461 Trabzon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bucaspor 1461 Trabzon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Bucaspor vs 1461 Trabzon
1:2
Nov 18, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
1461 Trabzon vs Bucaspor
1:0
Mar 2, 2014 1. Lig
1461 Trabzon vs Bucaspor
2:3
Oct 19, 2013 1. Lig
Bucaspor vs 1461 Trabzon
0:2
Mar 17, 2013 1. Lig
1461 Trabzon vs Bucaspor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bucaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kocal Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

1461 Trabzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Talsik M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tutuncu F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bucaspor 36 / 100
1461 Trabzon 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bucaspor 1461 Trabzon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1461 Trabzon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: 1461 Trabzon conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Bucaspor scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: 1461 Trabzon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bucaspor VS 1461 Trabzon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bucaspor

(Home)
04 May
Bucaspor
2 : 4
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
28 Apr
Turgutlu
2 : 1
Bucaspor
21 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 1
Golcukspor
14 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 1
Bucaspor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2
1461 Trabzon
Page 1 of 6

1461 Trabzon

(Away)
04 May
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
1461 Trabzon
28 Apr
1461 Trabzon
2 : 2
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
21 Apr
Buyukcekmece Gucu
2 : 1
1461 Trabzon
14 Apr
1461 Trabzon
0 : 2
Serik Spor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2
1461 Trabzon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayburt Ozel Idare 34 20 8 6 48:22 68
2 Kocaelispor 34 17 7 10 40:31 58
3 Karacabey Bld. 34 17 7 10 45:40 58
4 Serik Spor 34 13 13 8 39:36 52
5 Corum FK 34 15 7 12 42:32 52
6 Turgutlu 34 14 7 13 49:47 49
7 24Erzincanspor 34 14 6 14 45:38 48
8 Payasspor 34 14 6 14 32:37 48
9 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 34 11 13 10 40:40 46
10 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 34 12 9 13 38:40 45
11 Muglaspor 34 11 9 14 31:33 42
12 Cankaya FK 34 9 14 11 37:35 41
13 Fatsa Bld. 34 9 13 12 32:36 40
14 Cizrespor 34 8 16 10 33:39 40
15 Golcukspor 34 9 13 12 28:32 40
16 1461 Trabzon 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
17 Buyukcekmece Gucu 34 8 11 15 37:48 35
18 Bucaspor 34 6 10 18 35:57 28
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)