Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019

1461 Trabzon

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bucaspor play 1461 Trabzon in the 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bucaspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. 1461 Trabzon averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Bucaspor won 1, 1461 Trabzon won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 7, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Bucaspor and 1.44 for 1461 Trabzon. This points to a 1461 Trabzon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Bucaspor

21%

Draws

47%

1461 Trabzon

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: 1461 Trabzon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Bucaspor picked up more points recently compared to 1461 Trabzon.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Bucaspor Clean Sheet 16%

1461 Trabzon Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bucaspor	1461 Trabzon
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	8
Draws	8	10
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	1.03	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.7	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 3. Lig Group 3

Bucaspor vs 1461 Trabzon

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Nov 18, 2018 3. Lig Group 3

1461 Trabzon vs Bucaspor

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Mar 2, 2014 1. Lig

1461 Trabzon vs Bucaspor

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

2:3

Oct 19, 2013 1. Lig

Bucaspor vs 1461 Trabzon

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 0 - 0

0:2

Mar 17, 2013 1. Lig

1461 Trabzon vs Bucaspor

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bucaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kocal Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

1461 Trabzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Talsik M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tutuncu F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bucaspor 32 / 100

1461 Trabzon 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bucaspor 1461 Trabzon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: 1461 Trabzon or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bucaspor attacking → ← attacking 1461 Trabzon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bucaspor scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

1461 Trabzon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bucaspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

1461 Trabzon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 34

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayburt Ozel Idare	34	20	8	6	48:22	68
2	Kocaelispor	34	17	7	10	40:31	58
3	Karacabey Bld.	34	17	7	10	45:40	58
4	Serik Spor	34	13	13	8	39:36	52
5	Corum FK	34	15	7	12	42:32	52
6	Turgutlu	34	14	7	13	49:47	49
7	24Erzincanspor	34	14	6	14	45:38	48
8	Payasspor	34	14	6	14	32:37	48
9	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	34	11	13	10	40:40	46
10	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	34	12	9	13	38:40	45
11	Muglaspor	34	11	9	14	31:33	42
12	Cankaya FK	34	9	14	11	37:35	41
13	Fatsa Bld.	34	9	13	12	32:36	40
14	Cizrespor	34	8	16	10	33:39	40
15	Golcukspor	34	9	13	12	28:32	40
16	1461 Trabzon	34	8	13	13	31:39	37
17	Beykoz Ishakli Spor	34	8	11	15	37:48	35
18	Bucaspor	34	6	10	18	35:57	28