Sport Picks
Bucaspor vs Kocaelispor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 
Match Events
57'
57'
Guler I.
58'
58'
Camli D.
Own Goal
64'
64'
Guler I.
AI Match Summary
Bucaspor in this 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bucaspor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
15%
78%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kocaelispor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kocaelispor lately — more wins on the board than Bucaspor.
- 78% — that's where the model lands on Kocaelispor taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Bucaspor have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Bucaspor Clean Sheet 27%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bucaspor | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Bucaspor vs Kocaelispor
2:1
Oct 13, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
Kocaelispor vs Bucaspor
3:0
Jan 17, 2010 1. Lig
Kocaelispor vs Bucaspor
2:4
Aug 22, 2009 1. Lig
Bucaspor vs Kocaelispor
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bucaspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Guler I.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Kocaelispor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bucaspor 10 / 100
Kocaelispor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bucaspor Kocaelispor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kocaelispor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Bucaspor's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Kocaelispor has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Bucaspor remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Kocaelispor
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bucaspor
(Home) 04 May
Bucaspor
2 : 4 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
28 Apr
Turgutlu
2 : 1 Bucaspor
21 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 1 Golcukspor
14 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 1 Bucaspor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2 1461 Trabzon
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Bucaspor
2 : 4 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
21 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 1 Golcukspor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2 1461 Trabzon
23 Mar
Bucaspor
3 : 3 Cankaya FK
10 Mar
Bucaspor
2 : 1 Corum FK
Page 1 of 3
Kocaelispor
(Away) 19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0 Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2 Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0 Amedspor
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2 Kocaelispor
16 Aug
Basaksehir
2 : 0 Kocaelispor
17 May
Antalyaspor
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
03 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 1 Kocaelispor
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayburt Ozel Idare | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 48:22 | 68 |
| 2 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 40:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Karacabey Bld. | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Serik Spor | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 39:36 | 52 |
| 5 | Corum FK | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:32 | 52 |
| 6 | Turgutlu | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:47 | 49 |
| 7 | 24Erzincanspor | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 45:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Payasspor | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 32:37 | 48 |
| 9 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 40:40 | 46 |
| 10 | Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:40 | 45 |
| 11 | Muglaspor | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31:33 | 42 |
| 12 | Cankaya FK | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:35 | 41 |
| 13 | Fatsa Bld. | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 32:36 | 40 |
| 14 | Cizrespor | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 33:39 | 40 |
| 15 | Golcukspor | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 28:32 | 40 |
| 16 | 1461 Trabzon | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 31:39 | 37 |
| 17 | Buyukcekmece Gucu | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 37:48 | 35 |
| 18 | Bucaspor | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 35:57 | 28 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
