Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019

Bucaspor

2 - 1

Kocaelispor

Our Tip

Match Events

57'

Guler I.

58'

Camli D.

Own Goal

64'

Guler I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bucaspor in this 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bucaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Bucaspor

39%

Draws

30%

Kocaelispor

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Kocaelispor lately — more wins on the board than Bucaspor.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 4 times recently and Bucaspor have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Bucaspor Clean Sheet 23%

Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bucaspor	Kocaelispor
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	9
Draws	8	9
Losses	16	14
Goals Scored	0	0.88
Goals Conceded	0	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2019 3. Lig Group 3

Bucaspor vs Kocaelispor

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Oct 13, 2018 3. Lig Group 3

Kocaelispor vs Bucaspor

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

3:0

Jan 17, 2010 1. Lig

Kocaelispor vs Bucaspor

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

2:4

Aug 22, 2009 1. Lig

Bucaspor vs Kocaelispor

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bucaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Guler I.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Kocaelispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bucaspor 33 / 100

Kocaelispor 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bucaspor Kocaelispor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Bucaspor's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kocaelispor has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Kocaelispor has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kocaelispor

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 1.13

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayburt Ozel Idare	34	20	8	6	48:22	68
2	Kocaelispor	34	17	7	10	40:31	58
3	Karacabey Bld.	34	17	7	10	45:40	58
4	Serik Spor	34	13	13	8	39:36	52
5	Corum FK	34	15	7	12	42:32	52
6	Turgutlu	34	14	7	13	49:47	49
7	24Erzincanspor	34	14	6	14	45:38	48
8	Payasspor	34	14	6	14	32:37	48
9	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	34	11	13	10	40:40	46
10	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	34	12	9	13	38:40	45
11	Muglaspor	34	11	9	14	31:33	42
12	Cankaya FK	34	9	14	11	37:35	41
13	Fatsa Bld.	34	9	13	12	32:36	40
14	Cizrespor	34	8	16	10	33:39	40
15	Golcukspor	34	9	13	12	28:32	40
16	1461 Trabzon	34	8	13	13	31:39	37
17	Beykoz Ishakli Spor	34	8	11	15	37:48	35
18	Bucaspor	34	6	10	18	35:57	28