Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bucaspor vs Turgutlu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019
Bucaspor Logo

Bucaspor

0 - 3
FT
Turgutlu Logo

Turgutlu

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Yildirim Y.
49' Event
Okay G.
59'
Sertgoz O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Turgutlu in this 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turgutlu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Bucaspor
20%
Draws
70%
Turgutlu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turgutlu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Turgutlu at 1.22 per game, Bucaspor at 1.03.
  • Model gives Turgutlu a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Bucaspor Clean Sheet 19%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bucaspor Turgutlu
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.03 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Turgutlu vs Bucaspor
2:1
Dec 8, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
Bucaspor vs Turgutlu
0:3
Jan 10, 2013 Club Friendly
Bucaspor vs Turgutlu
1:1
Dec 7, 2008 TFF 2. Lig Group 2
Bucaspor vs Turgutlu
2:1
Oct 5, 2008 TFF 2. Lig Group 2
Turgutlu vs Bucaspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bucaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okay G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bucaspor 28 / 100
Turgutlu 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bucaspor Turgutlu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turgutlu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turgutlu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Bucaspor found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Bucaspor has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Turgutlu
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bucaspor

(Home)
04 May
Bucaspor
2 : 4
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
28 Apr
Turgutlu
2 : 1
Bucaspor
21 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 1
Golcukspor
14 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 1
Bucaspor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2
1461 Trabzon
Page 1 of 6

Turgutlu

(Away)
26 Apr
Turgutlu
0 : 3
Izmir Coruhlu
20 Apr
Nigde
1 : 3
Turgutlu
13 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 3
Orduspor 1967
06 Apr
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Turgutlu
02 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayburt Ozel Idare 34 20 8 6 48:22 68
2 Kocaelispor 34 17 7 10 40:31 58
3 Karacabey Bld. 34 17 7 10 45:40 58
4 Serik Spor 34 13 13 8 39:36 52
5 Corum FK 34 15 7 12 42:32 52
6 Turgutlu 34 14 7 13 49:47 49
7 24Erzincanspor 34 14 6 14 45:38 48
8 Payasspor 34 14 6 14 32:37 48
9 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 34 11 13 10 40:40 46
10 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 34 12 9 13 38:40 45
11 Muglaspor 34 11 9 14 31:33 42
12 Cankaya FK 34 9 14 11 37:35 41
13 Fatsa Bld. 34 9 13 12 32:36 40
14 Cizrespor 34 8 16 10 33:39 40
15 Golcukspor 34 9 13 12 28:32 40
16 1461 Trabzon 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
17 Buyukcekmece Gucu 34 8 11 15 37:48 35
18 Bucaspor 34 6 10 18 35:57 28
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)