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Buchbach vs TSV Aubstadt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Stossberger T.
66' Event
Sturm S.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern game between Buchbach and TSV Aubstadt finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Buchbach
15%
Draws
0%
TSV Aubstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buchbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Buchbach come out ahead of TSV Aubstadt on wins alone.
  • Model gives Buchbach a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Buchbach Clean Sheet 20%
TSV Aubstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buchbach TSV Aubstadt
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.81 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs TSV Aubstadt
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Buchbach
4:1
Sep 26, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs TSV Aubstadt
2:4
May 10, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Buchbach
1:1
Oct 22, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs TSV Aubstadt
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buchbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Stossberger T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

TSV Aubstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Sturm S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buchbach 76 / 100
TSV Aubstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buchbach TSV Aubstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buchbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Buchbach scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

TSV Aubstadt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

TSV Aubstadt's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Buchbach VS TSV Aubstadt
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Buchbach

(Home)
02 Oct
Buchbach
0 : 2
Eltersdorf
29 Sept
Unterhaching
2 : 2
Buchbach
25 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 1
Buchbach
18 Sept
Buchbach
3 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
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TSV Aubstadt

(Away)
03 Oct
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 1
Memmingen
26 Sept
Augsburg II
3 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
18 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 2
Bayern II
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
11 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 3
Unterhaching
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 25:11 27
2 Memmingen 12 7 3 2 14:7 24
3 Vfb Eichstatt 12 6 3 3 15:15 21
4 Munich 1860 11 5 5 1 24:13 20
5 Unterhaching 11 5 5 1 15:10 20
6 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
7 Burghausen 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
8 Bayreuth 12 5 1 6 22:18 16
9 Vilzing 11 4 4 3 18:18 16
10 Bayern II 11 4 3 4 14:12 15
11 Eltersdorf 11 4 3 4 17:16 15
12 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 18:26 15
13 Nurnberg II 11 4 1 6 21:17 13
14 1. FC Schweinfurt 11 3 3 5 16:24 12
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 12 3 3 6 14:23 12
16 Furth II 11 3 2 6 15:18 11
17 Ansbach 11 3 1 7 10:25 10
18 TSV Aubstadt 11 2 2 7 14:20 8
19 Landsberg 11 1 4 6 10:21 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)