Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buckley vs Colwyn Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Colwyn Bay have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Buckley have conceded 2.2 and scored 1.9. Past meetings favor Colwyn Bay slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2025, ending 3:1. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.75) point toward Colwyn Bay. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Buckley
20%
Draws
42%
Colwyn Bay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Colwyn Bay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Buckley are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Colwyn Bay arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Colwyn Bay, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colwyn Bay have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Buckley Clean Sheet 12%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buckley Colwyn Bay
Matches Played 41 35
Wins 16 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2025 Cymru North
Colwyn Bay vs Buckley
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Buckley vs Colwyn Bay
2:3
Aug 26, 2024 Cymru North
Buckley vs Colwyn Bay
1:2
Jan 20, 2023 Cymru North
Colwyn Bay vs Buckley
5:2
Sep 23, 2022 Cymru North
Buckley vs Colwyn Bay
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buckley 38 / 100
Colwyn Bay 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buckley Colwyn Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buckley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Buckley has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Buckley's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Colwyn Bay has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Buckley VS Colwyn Bay
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Buckley

(Home)
09 Oct
Bala
2 : 3
Buckley
03 Oct
Buckley
1 : 1
Ruthin Town
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 9

Colwyn Bay

(Away)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -