Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Budoni Calcio vs Real Monterotondo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Budoni Calcio play Real Monterotondo in the Serie D - Group G. It looks like a close match. Recently, Budoni Calcio averaged 1 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Real Monterotondo averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Budoni Calcio won 2, Real Monterotondo won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Budoni Calcio and 1.19 for Real Monterotondo. This points to a Budoni Calcio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Budoni Calcio
22%
Draws
28%
Real Monterotondo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Budoni Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Budoni Calcio picked up more points recently compared to Real Monterotondo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Budoni Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Budoni Calcio Real Monterotondo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Real Monterotondo
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Budoni Calcio
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Budoni Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Schirru G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fallou Diop S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tenkorang J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Budoni Calcio 49 / 100
Real Monterotondo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Budoni Calcio Real Monterotondo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Budoni Calcio or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Budoni Calcio attacking → ← attacking Real Monterotondo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Budoni Calcio scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Real Monterotondo let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Budoni Calcio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Monterotondo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 30
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scafatese34276175:2387
2Trastevere Calcio34179864:4660
3Monastir341581151:4453
4Flaminia341312953:3751
5Albalonga341481255:5550
6Latte Dolce341461449:4948
7Valmontone341461449:5048
8Nocerina341114936:3347
9Sarrabus Ogliastra3412101247:5146
10Budoni Calcio341291333:3245
11Palmese 19143411121141:4345
12Atl. Lodigiani3411111243:4044
13Ischia341271536:5243
14Anzio Calcio 19243410111338:4341
15Real Monterotondo341061839:5836
16Olbia348141239:5036
17Montespaccato346121647:5830
18Cassino34492124:5521