Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buelna vs Atletico Albericia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Buelna and Atletico Albericia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Albericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Buelna
15%
Draws
12%
Atletico Albericia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buelna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Buelna haven't matched Atletico Albericia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Buelna's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico Albericia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Buelna Clean Sheet 11%
Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buelna Atletico Albericia
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Buelna
1:0
Sep 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Atletico Albericia
1:2
Feb 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Atletico Albericia
0:2
Sep 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Buelna
2:5
Apr 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Buelna
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buelna 35 / 100
Atletico Albericia 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buelna Atletico Albericia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Albericia conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Atletico Albericia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Buelna found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico Albericia
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Buelna

(Home)
17 May
Buelna
2 : 1
CD Colindres
10 May
Cayon CD
6 : 1
Buelna
03 May
Buelna
0 : 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
29 Apr
Castro
1 : 3
Buelna
26 Apr
Buelna
0 : 2
Bezana
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Albericia

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Atletico Albericia
27 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
Solares
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0
Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
CD Laredo
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)