Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buenos Aires City vs Ezeiza

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Tue, Jul 14, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buenos Aires City play Ezeiza in the Torneo Promocional Amateur. It looks like a close match. Recently, Buenos Aires City averaged 0.71 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. Ezeiza averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. In past meetings, Buenos Aires City won 1, Ezeiza won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 0-0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Buenos Aires City and 0.81 for Ezeiza. This points to a Ezeiza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Buenos Aires City
26%
Draws
40%
Ezeiza
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Ezeiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Buenos Aires City picked up more points recently compared to Ezeiza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Buenos Aires City Clean Sheet 26%
Ezeiza Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 42%
Second Half Goal 45%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buenos Aires City Ezeiza
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 2 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 0.71 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.57 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Buenos Aires City vs Ezeiza
0-0
Apr 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Buenos Aires City
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Buenos Aires City vs Ezeiza
1-1
Feb 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Buenos Aires City
1-1
Jan 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Buenos Aires City vs Ezeiza
2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buenos Aires City 36 / 100
Ezeiza 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buenos Aires City Ezeiza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ezeiza or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Buenos Aires City attacking → ← attacking Ezeiza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buenos Aires City scored in 57% of their last 7 games.

Ezeiza let in goals in 42% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Buenos Aires City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ezeiza lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 49
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo Metalurgico650111:315
2Social Atletico Television65017:215
3Nautico Hacoaj63217:311
4Defensores de Glew631214:710
5Estrella de Berisso62226:68
6Provincial61143:94
7Atletico Pilar61054:113
8Juventud de Bernal61054:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Uribelarrea74217:314
3Academia Control Orientado732210:811
4Buenos Aires City72325:49
5Belgrano Zarate72323:39
6Ezeiza72325:69
7Everton La Plata72235:68
8Las Mandarinas72056:116
9Alumni Los Hornos71244:75