Sport Picks

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Bugesera vs Marines

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Bugesera Logo

Bugesera

0 - 4
FT
Marines Logo

Marines

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marines in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bugesera
20%
Draws
51%
Marines
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • Bugesera have won more games recently than Marines.
  • Win probability leans Marines's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Bugesera Clean Sheet 15%
Marines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bugesera Marines
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Bugesera vs Marines
0:4
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs Bugesera
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Bugesera vs Marines
2:1
Dec 30, 2024 Premier League
Marines vs Bugesera
1:4
Apr 5, 2024 Premier League
Marines vs Bugesera
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bugesera 11 / 100
Marines 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bugesera Marines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marines has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Bugesera found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bugesera remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bugesera VS Marines
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bugesera

(Home)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2
Bugesera
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1
Bugesera
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
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Marines

(Away)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)