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Bugesera vs Muhazi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Sackey J.

AI Match Summary

Muhazi United in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muhazi United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bugesera
20%
Draws
40%
Muhazi United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Muhazi United haven't matched Bugesera's recent run of results.
  • Bugesera are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Bugesera Clean Sheet 68%
Muhazi United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bugesera Muhazi United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.06 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Bugesera vs Muhazi United
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League
Muhazi United vs Bugesera
0:2
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Bugesera vs Muhazi United
0:0
Dec 9, 2023 Premier League
Muhazi United vs Bugesera
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Premier League
Muhazi United vs Bugesera
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bugesera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Muhazi United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sackey J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bugesera 50 / 100
Muhazi United 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bugesera Muhazi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bugesera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bugesera scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Muhazi United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Muhazi United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bugesera VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bugesera

(Home)
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2
Bugesera
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1
Bugesera
Page 1 of 7

Muhazi United

(Away)
28 May
Amagaju
2 : 1
Muhazi United
24 May
Muhazi United
0 : 1
APR
17 May
Gasogi United
1 : 0
Muhazi United
11 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Muhazi United
01 May
Kiyovu
2 : 2
Muhazi United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 20 7 3 46:17 67
2 Rayon Sport 30 18 9 3 43:17 63
3 Kigali FC 30 14 7 9 32:27 49
4 Police 30 11 12 7 38:24 45
5 Mukura Victory Sports 30 10 11 9 23:27 41
6 Bugesera 30 10 10 10 37:30 40
7 Gorilla 30 11 7 12 27:25 40
8 Gasogi United 30 10 10 10 29:29 40
9 Rutsiro 30 9 11 10 30:35 38
10 Kiyovu 30 11 4 15 32:51 37
11 Amagaju 30 10 6 14 29:38 36
12 Etincelles 30 7 13 10 25:27 34
13 Musanze 30 7 13 10 26:31 34
14 Marines 30 9 7 14 37:46 34
15 Muhazi United 30 7 9 14 22:29 30
16 Vision 30 5 6 19 23:46 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)