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Buildcon vs Red Arrows

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Phiri J.
46' Event
Jere C.
83' Event
Bulaya F.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2022/2023 game between Buildcon and Red Arrows finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Arrows.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Buildcon
15%
Draws
85%
Red Arrows
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Red Arrows carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Red Arrows are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Red Arrows have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Buildcon Clean Sheet 18%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buildcon Red Arrows
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 25 6
Goals Scored 0.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.73 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Super League
Buildcon vs Red Arrows
1:2
Oct 5, 2022 Super League
Red Arrows vs Buildcon
2:1
Mar 5, 2022 Super League
Red Arrows vs Buildcon
3:1
Oct 31, 2021 Super League
Buildcon vs Red Arrows
0:0
May 8, 2021 Super League
Red Arrows vs Buildcon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buildcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Jere C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Red Arrows Compare

Top Goalscorer Phiri J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bulaya F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buildcon 10 / 100
Red Arrows 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buildcon Red Arrows

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Buildcon's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Red Arrows has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Red Arrows has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Red Arrows
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Buildcon

(Home)
03 Jun
Chambishi
4 : 2
Buildcon
13 May
Buildcon
0 : 1
Green Buffaloes FC
07 May
Zanaco
4 : 0
Buildcon
29 Apr
Muza Fc
4 : 0
Buildcon
22 Apr
Buildcon
0 : 4
Kabwe
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Red Arrows

(Away)
20 Aug
Red Arrows
0 : 1
Power Dynamos
22 May
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
17 May
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 0
Red Arrows
14 May
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Green Eagles
10 May
Power Dynamos
0 : 2
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 17 14 3 48:19 65
2 Muza Fc 34 17 8 9 43:28 59
3 Zesco 34 15 10 9 46:27 55
4 Green Buffaloes FC 34 13 16 5 41:29 55
5 NAPSA Stars 34 13 12 9 40:26 51
6 Red Arrows 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
7 Green Eagles 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Forest Rangers 34 11 15 8 30:24 48
9 Nkana 34 12 12 10 32:27 48
10 Kansanshi 34 12 12 10 33:31 48
11 Kabwe 34 10 16 8 37:27 46
12 Prison Leopards 34 10 15 9 35:36 45
13 Zanaco 34 10 11 13 32:32 41
14 Nkwazi 34 9 12 13 30:33 39
15 Nchanga Rangers 34 8 13 13 32:43 37
16 Lumwana Radiants 34 7 13 14 32:40 34
17 Chambishi 34 9 5 20 34:60 32
18 Buildcon 34 2 4 28 16:89 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Main)