Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buje vs Vinodol

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Buje and Vinodol finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vinodol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Buje
15%
Draws
46%
Vinodol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vinodol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Buje come out ahead of Vinodol on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Buje's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Buje Clean Sheet 18%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buje Vinodol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL West
Buje vs Vinodol
0:1
Oct 9, 2021 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Buje
0:2
Mar 27, 2021 3. HNL West
Buje vs Vinodol
3:0
Sep 12, 2020 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Buje
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buje 36 / 100
Vinodol 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buje Vinodol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinodol let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Buje scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Buje remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Buje VS Vinodol
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Buje

(Home)
28 May
Crikvenica
2 : 0
Buje
21 May
Buje
0 : 2
Uljanik Pula
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Buje
2 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
30 Apr
Pazinka
0 : 2
Buje
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Vinodol

(Away)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)